
《联合全面行动计划》于2015年在奥巴马总统任期内签署,旨在限制伊朗核发展以换取制裁解除。
The deal collapsed in 2018 when the Trump administration withdrew, and Iran has since accelerated enrichment activities while maintaining 78 tracked signals related to nuclear operations.
Iran currently holds a geopolitical influence score of 39 out of 100, driven largely by regional military positioning rather than nuclear diplomacy. Recent statements indicate Iran is prepared for potential US military action, particularly across Yemen operations and through Iraqi militia proxies demanding US withdrawal.
Iran has advanced uranium enrichment beyond deal limits and shows no immediate path to renegotiation. Broader regional tensions, including disputes over Hormuz strait oil traffic control, suggest Tehran views nuclear capability as deterrent leverage in a confrontational stance rather than as negotiable asset.