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Current State of Tensions

Tariffs and trade represent the largest category of tracked geopolitical signals on this topic, accounting for 54 of 100 total tracked events. Diverging US China trade data continues to point toward tariff evasion, indicating both countries are actively working around official trade barriers rather than normalizing relations.

Spillover Effects

The trade conflict has expanded regionally. Concurrent US Canada trade friction is now affecting North American supply chains, with 75 percent of voters in recent polling expressing concern about grocery prices tied to these trade disputes. The interconnected nature of North American and Asia Pacific trade means resolution with one partner does not automatically ease tensions with another.