นเรนทร์ มอดี การพยากรณ์ ๒๕๖๘

นเรนทร์ มอดี การพยากรณ์ ๒๕๖๘

ความไม่เสถียรภายในประเทศ

Modi faced escalating protest movements in 2025, including a "cockroach" movement targeting his election chief and fresh protests over voter rolls. These challenges undermined his political authority and exposed fractures in his coalition's electoral machinery.

Geopolitical Constraints

Modi's ability to maneuver on chips and technology policy narrowed considerably. India's position in US led semiconductor restrictions and trade negotiations became subject to domestic political weakness rather than strategic choice. His reduced influence score reflects both internal political erosion and constrained external options.

Modi retained the Prime Minister office through 2025 but entered 2026 as a weakened leader managing systemic challenges to electoral credibility and institutional stability.