ramalan Sam Altman tentang AGI
Sam Altman predicts artificial general intelligence (AGI) will arrive within the next few years, likely by the late 2020s.
As OpenAI CEO since 2019, Altman has consistently positioned the company as the primary vehicle for achieving this milestone.
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Current Strategic Direction
Altman is shifting OpenAI toward becoming an "App Store for AI," as reported in recent OpenAI DevDay 2026 announcements. This infrastructure play suggests he believes AGI development requires ecosystem expansion beyond direct model training, with partners like Adobe now integrated into the platform.
Technical Timeline
Altman's AGI predictions rest on steady capability improvements in large language models. Recent signals track 92 distinct developments in artificial intelligence around his work, reflecting the intensity of progress toward his stated goals. However, his influence score of 38 out of 100 indicates his timeline remains contested within both AI safety and business communities.