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The U.S.
China trade war never formally ended.
While tariff rates have fluctuated since 2018, substantial duties remain in place as of 2026, and the underlying trade tensions persist across multiple sectors.
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Current State of Tariffs
Tariffs and trade represent the largest category of tracked geopolitical signals at 54 signals, indicating the ongoing nature of this dispute. Recent analysis has identified significant tariff evasion patterns, as diverging U.S. China trade data continues to point to circumvention efforts that complicate any clear resolution.
Broader Trade Friction
The trade conflict has expanded beyond bilateral U.S. China dynamics. Current trade tensions now extend to Canada, reflecting a wider pattern of protectionist measures across North America. These escalating disputes are affecting consumer prices, with grocery bills emerging as a visible pressure point for American households.