
The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), signed in 2013, was a multilateral agreement limiting Iran's nuclear program in exchange for sanctions relief.
The deal collapsed in 2018 when the United States withdrew, and Iran's nuclear activities have since accelerated.
As of 2026, Iran's influence score remains at 44/100, with 77 tracked signals concentrated on Iran itself and 10 on nuclear weapons development. Negotiations have stalled, with recent communications emphasizing hardened positions on both sides.
Current geopolitical signals indicate mounting tensions rather than diplomatic progress. Iran has stated there is "no military solution" to ongoing conflicts, while simultaneously conditioning major concessions on US policy shifts regarding the Strait of Hormuz and broader regional conflict. These positions suggest both sides remain far from a new agreement framework.